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October 22 spot gold, silver, US crude oil short-term trading strategy

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发表于 2018-10-22 13:46:14 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
On Monday (October 22), during the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated within a narrow range, initially standing above the 100-day moving average, and is expected to oscillate upwards. However, there are few economic data in the day, and there may be some wait-and-see mood in the market; crude oil market, oil price last trade The market has stabilized and there is a short-term moderate rebound in technical demand. However, due to the record high crude oil drilling data, there are more fundamental negative factors in the fundamentals, and the oil price midline is still biased downward.
★ This week's financial market hotspots:

1. US durable goods order data for September;
2. US third quarter GDP data;
3. European Central Bank interest rate resolution;
4. The Bank of Canada's interest rate decision;
5. Beige Book of the Fed's economic situation;
6. Speech by Fed officials (especially the new Fed Vice Chairman Clarida);
7. News about the Brexit negotiations in the UK;
8. Italian budget related news;
9. Saudi News reporter Kashuji related news;
10. News related to international trade.

★ October 22nd spot gold, silver, US crude oil short-term trend analysis

1. Spot gold:

Analysis: US real estate data performance is poor, and the market expects the US third quarter GDP growth will slow down, the US dollar index short-term upside momentum has weakened, facing some callback risks, which is expected to provide support for gold prices; and, the gold price technical signal is slightly More than enough, the market outlook is still biased towards a small upswing.

Weekly level: rebound after unilateral decline; MACD low formation into gold fork operation, KDJ gold cross signal continued, five-week average line wearing ten-week moving average gold fork operation, the market outlook biased, initial resistance in the 1366-1160 downtrend 38.2 The % retracement is near 1238.52. The middle rail resistance of the Bollinger Band is also near this position. If it can break the position, it is expected to open a larger upside.

Since the J value of KDJ has already given the overbought signal, if the price of gold fails to break the resistance near 1238.52, it is necessary to guard against the counterattack of the short position. The following is to pay attention to the support around the high point of 1214.25 on the week of August 31. The five-week moving average support is also Near the position, if the position is accidentally lost, the bullish signal is weakened; the 19.1% retracement is supported near 1119.31, and if the position is further broken, the bearish signal is added.

Daily line level: shock; due to the 100-day moving average, the gold price initially stood above the 100-day moving average of 1224.44, and the short-term bullish signal increased. In addition, the gold price in the past week fluctuated at a relatively high level in the near future, and the callback was small. The indicator bullish signal is still there, and it is expected to be slightly explored this week. The initial reference is for the resistance around the July 26 high of 1235.22. The 38.2% retracement of the 1366-1160 downtrend is around 1238.52, then the July 17 high of 1245. Resistance nearby.

Since KDJ has already given an overbought signal, the following will pay attention to the support around the 10 day moving average of 1217.88, and if it accidentally falls into this position, it will weaken the bullish signal.

4 hours level: shock; MACD dead fork running, KDJ dead fork running, short-term bias test Bollinger line below the rail 1221.47 support, if you can stick to the position, the gold price is still expected to shock up the attack, Bollinger rail resistance in In the vicinity of 1230.32, if the position is broken, the bullish signal is increased.

If accidentally falls below the support of the Bollinger Band 1221.47, the short-term bearish signal; the 38.2% retracement of the 1180-1233 rally is supported around 1213.20.

Resistance: 1230.32; 1235.22; 1238.52; 1245.00;

Support: 1221.47; 1127.88; 1212.25; 1208.50.

Short-term operational recommendations: conservative investors wait and see; aggressive investors do more on dips.

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